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Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Trepy Y.
17' Event
Mendy P.
21'
Sub
Raggioli C. In: Barido F.
Out: Raggioli C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Cagliari U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Napoli U20
35%
Draws
45%
Cagliari U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cagliari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cagliari U20 come out ahead of Napoli U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cagliari U20 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Cagliari U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cagliari U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Napoli U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U20 Cagliari U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primavera 1
Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20
0:3
May 17, 2026 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Napoli U20
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Primavera 1
Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cagliari U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trepy Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U20 27 / 100
Cagliari U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U20 Cagliari U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cagliari U20 conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Napoli U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U20 VS Cagliari U20
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U20

(Home)
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1
Napoli U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
02 May
Verona U20
5 : 2
Napoli U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Inter U20
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Cagliari U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 2
Cagliari U20
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1
Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Cagliari U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Napoli U20 0
Cagliari U20 3