Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Colella R. In: Torre C.
Out: Colella R.
37'
37'
Caucci A.
49'
49'
Sub
Caucci A. In: Raggioli C.
Out: Caucci A.
AI Match Summary
The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Napoli U20 and Lecce U20 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Napoli U20 come out ahead of Lecce U20 on wins alone.
- Lecce U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Napoli U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli U20 | Lecce U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Primavera 1
Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Napoli U20
0:3
Jan 28, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20
1:0
Sep 24, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Lecce U20 vs Napoli U20
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Lecce U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Esteban P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli U20 20 / 100
Lecce U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli U20 Lecce U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lecce U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lecce U20 conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Napoli U20's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Napoli U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Napoli U20 VS Lecce U20
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli U20
(Home) 23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3 Cagliari U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1 Napoli U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Lecce U20
02 May
Verona U20
5 : 2 Napoli U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Inter U20
Page 1 of 8
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3 Cagliari U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Lecce U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Inter U20
18 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Bologna U20
21 Mar
Napoli U20
0 : 1 Genoa U20
Page 1 of 4
Lecce U20
(Away) 19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2 Lecce U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1 AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3 Lecce U20
22 Aug
Lecce U20
1 : 2 Lazio U20
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2 Lecce U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3 Lecce U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0 Lecce U20
19 Apr
Inter U20
1 : 0 Lecce U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 70:48 | 68 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 3 | Cesena U20 | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | AS Roma U20 | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 59:35 | 63 |
| 5 | Bologna U20 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:40 | 62 |
| 6 | Inter U20 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:61 | 59 |
| 7 | Atalanta U20 | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 54:47 | 57 |
| 8 | Juventus U20 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Lecce U20 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Genoa U20 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 11 | AC Milan U20 | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 51:49 | 49 |
| 12 | Verona U20 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55:61 | 48 |
| 13 | Torino U20 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:50 | 47 |
| 14 | Monza U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 15 | Lazio U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:51 | 47 |
| 16 | Sassuolo U20 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:58 | 44 |
| 17 | Napoli U20 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Cagliari U20 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 49:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Frosinone U20 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 47:76 | 35 |
| 20 | Cremonese U20 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 31:64 | 24 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)
