Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Colella R. In: Torre C.
Out: Colella R.
37'
Caucci A.
49'
Sub
Caucci A. In: Raggioli C.
Out: Caucci A.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Napoli U20 and Lecce U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Napoli U20
39%
Draws
30%
Lecce U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecce U20 come out ahead of Napoli U20 on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Napoli U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli U20 Lecce U20
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primavera 1
Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Napoli U20
0:3
Jan 28, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20
1:0
Sep 24, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Lecce U20 vs Napoli U20
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lecce U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli U20 32 / 100
Lecce U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli U20 Lecce U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Napoli U20 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Lecce U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Napoli U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Napoli U20 VS Lecce U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli U20

(Home)
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1
Napoli U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
02 May
Verona U20
5 : 2
Napoli U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 7

Lecce U20

(Away)
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0
Fiorentina U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0
Lecce U20
26 Apr
Lecce U20
3 : 2
Verona U20
19 Apr
Inter U20
1 : 0
Lecce U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiorentina U20381911870:4868
2Parma U20381911859:3868
3Cesena U20381910970:5267
4AS Roma U20381712959:3563
5Bologna U203817111054:4062
6Inter U203816111170:6159
7Atalanta U20381415954:4757
8Juventus U203814131152:4855
9Lecce U203814121254:5354
10Genoa U203812141249:5250
11AC Milan U203811161151:4949
12Verona U203812121455:6148
13Torino U203811141350:5047
14Monza U203812111537:4547
15Lazio U203812111544:5147
16Sassuolo U203810141451:5844
17Napoli U203810101839:5540
18Cagliari U20381091949:6239
19Frosinone U20388111947:7635
20Cremonese U2038662631:6424
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2026/2027 (Main)