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Napoli vs Aris

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rrahmani A.
31' Event
Racic U.
44' Event
McTominay S.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Napoli
20%
Draws
40%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Napoli lately — more wins on the board than Aris.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Napoli Clean Sheet 13%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Aris
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Aris
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer De Bruyne K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Racic U.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 39 / 100
Aris 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Aris let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Napoli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Aris
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2
Aris
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1
Osasuna
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
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Aris

(Away)
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2
Aris
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2
Aris
08 Aug
Aris
2 : 2
Panserraikos
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
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