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Napoli vs Aris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rrahmani A.
31' Event
Racic U.
44' Event
McTominay S.

AI Match Summary

Napoli in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Napoli
30%
Draws
39%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Napoli lately — more wins on the board than Aris.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Napoli Clean Sheet 18%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Aris
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Aris
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer De Bruyne K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Racic U.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 76 / 100
Aris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Aris let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Napoli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Aris
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
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Aris

(Away)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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