Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Gilmour B.
46'
46'
Sub
Meret A. In: Milinkovic-Savic V.
Out: Meret A.
58'
58'
Sub
Politano M. In: Favasuli C.
Out: Politano M.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Napoli haven't matched Arsenal's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Napoli taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arsenal have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Napoli Clean Sheet 12%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 14 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Champions League
Napoli vs Arsenal
0:1
Apr 18, 2019 Europa League
Napoli vs Arsenal
0:1
Apr 11, 2019 Europa League
Arsenal vs Napoli
2:0
Dec 11, 2013 Champions League
Napoli vs Arsenal
2:0
Oct 1, 2013 Champions League
Arsenal vs Napoli
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Arsenal Compare
Top Goalscorer Odegaard M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli 40 / 100
Arsenal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli Arsenal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Napoli scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Arsenal conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.
Solid form: Napoli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Napoli VS Arsenal
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli
(Home) 09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2 Napoli
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2 Aris
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2 Aris
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1 Celta Vigo
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1 Osasuna
Page 1 of 4
Arsenal
(Away) 09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1 Chelsea
31 Aug
Aston Villa
0 : 1 Arsenal
21 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0 Coventry
16 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0 Manchester City
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
31 Aug
Aston Villa
0 : 1 Arsenal
01 Aug
Girona
1 : 4 Arsenal
30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
24 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 2 Arsenal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Atl. Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | LASK Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
