Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Gilmour B.
46'
46'
Sub
Meret A. In: Milinkovic-Savic V.
Out: Meret A.
58'
58'
Sub
Politano M. In: Favasuli C.
Out: Politano M.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Napoli haven't matched Arsenal's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arsenal have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Napoli Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napoli | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Champions League
Napoli vs Arsenal
0:1
Apr 18, 2019 Europa League
Napoli vs Arsenal
0:1
Apr 11, 2019 Europa League
Arsenal vs Napoli
2:0
Dec 11, 2013 Champions League
Napoli vs Arsenal
2:0
Oct 1, 2013 Champions League
Arsenal vs Napoli
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napoli Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Arsenal Compare
Top Goalscorer Odegaard M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napoli 41 / 100
Arsenal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napoli Arsenal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Napoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Napoli scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Napoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Arsenal conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Napoli VS Arsenal
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Napoli
(Home) 28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4 Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3 AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
17 Oct
Venezia
1 : 0 Napoli
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1 Napoli
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3 AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
10 Oct
Napoli
3 : 0 Frosinone
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
Page 1 of 4
Arsenal
(Away) 27 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 Arsenal
24 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 0 Everton
21 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2 Arsenal
18 Oct
Nottingham
0 : 1 Arsenal
13 Oct
Arsenal
3 : 0 Lille
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 Arsenal
21 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2 Arsenal
18 Oct
Nottingham
0 : 1 Arsenal
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0 Arsenal
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4 Arsenal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | LASK Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
