Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli host Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Napoli have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Bodo/Glimt's 2.83 scored and 1.37 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.94) point toward Bodo/Glimt. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Napoli
15%
Draws
48%
Bodo/Glimt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bodo/Glimt lately — more wins on the board than Napoli.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Napoli taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Bodo/Glimt
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 23
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.67 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 34 / 100
Bodo/Glimt 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Bodo/Glimt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bodo/Glimt conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Napoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bodo/Glimt lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Bodo/Glimt
1 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
10 Oct
Napoli
3 : 0
Frosinone
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
Page 1 of 6

Bodo/Glimt

(Away)
10 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 1
Kristiansund
01 Oct
Rana FK
2 : 6
Bodo/Glimt
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Sporting CP 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 8:3 4
5 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
6 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Manchester United 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
9 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
11 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Atl. Madrid 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
15 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
16 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
17 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
18 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
19 Lens 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
20 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
21 Sabah Baku 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
22 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
23 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
24 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
25 PSV 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Viking 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
27 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Inter 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
29 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 Slavia Prague 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Napoli 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
32 Lille 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Galatasaray 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)