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Napoli vs Brest Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadio Teofilo Patini, Castel di Sangro
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ajorque L.
33' Event
Ajorque L.
52'
Diaz Jr. M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Napoli and Brest finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Napoli
30%
Draws
39%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Napoli come out ahead of Brest on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Napoli's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Napoli Clean Sheet 18%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Brest
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Brest
1:2
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Brest
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucca L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 36 / 100
Brest 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Brest let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Napoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Brest
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
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Brest

(Away)
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
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