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Stadium Background

Napoli vs Brest

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadio Teofilo Patini, Castel di Sangro
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ajorque L.
33' Event
Ajorque L.
52'
Diaz Jr. M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Napoli and Brest finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Napoli
11%
Draws
9%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Napoli come out ahead of Brest on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Napoli's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Napoli Clean Sheet 20%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Brest
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Brest
1:2
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Brest
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Napoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucca L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 76 / 100
Brest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Brest let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Napoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Brest
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
24 May
Napoli
1 : 0
Udinese
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3
Napoli
11 May
Napoli
2 : 3
Bologna
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Brest

(Away)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
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