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Napoli vs Frosinone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Napoli host Frosinone in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Napoli have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Frosinone's 2 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Napoli slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2024, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.56) back Frosinone to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Napoli
20%
Draws
57%
Frosinone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frosinone lately — more wins on the board than Napoli.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Napoli Clean Sheet 15%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Napoli Frosinone
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.68 2
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs Frosinone
2:2
Dec 19, 2023 Coppa Italia
Napoli vs Frosinone
0:4
Aug 19, 2023 Serie A
Frosinone vs Napoli
1:3
Apr 28, 2019 Serie A
Frosinone vs Napoli
0:2
Dec 8, 2018 Serie A
Napoli vs Frosinone
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Napoli 31 / 100
Frosinone 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Napoli Frosinone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frosinone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Frosinone let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Napoli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Napoli VS Frosinone
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Napoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
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Frosinone

(Away)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)