Sport Picks
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion Mladost Kruševac, Kruševac 
Match Events
37'
37'
Ristic S.
Own Goal
49'
49'
Ristic S.
58'
58'
Todoroski A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Napredak and TSC Backa Topola finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSC Backa Topola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TSC Backa Topola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- TSC Backa Topola carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- TSC Backa Topola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Napredak Clean Sheet 19%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napredak | TSC Backa Topola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napredak 32 / 100
TSC Backa Topola 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napredak TSC Backa Topola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSC Backa Topola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TSC Backa Topola has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Napredak remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Napredak scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Napredak VS TSC Backa Topola
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Napredak
(Home) 30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0 Napredak
23 Aug
Napredak
1 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
19 Aug
Teleoptik
1 : 1 Napredak
14 Aug
Napredak
2 : 1 Metalac
08 Aug
OFK Bor 1919
0 : 1 Napredak
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Napredak
1 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
14 Aug
Napredak
2 : 1 Metalac
02 Aug
Napredak
1 : 0 Graficar Beograd
25 Jul
Napredak
1 : 0 Dubocica
11 Jul
Napredak
0 : 1 Radnik Bijeljina
Page 1 of 3
TSC Backa Topola
(Away) 30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
23 Aug
Napredak
1 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
19 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
2 : 2 Spartak Subotica
15 Aug
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3 TSC Backa Topola
09 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Javor
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Napredak
1 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
15 Aug
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3 TSC Backa Topola
18 Jul
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1 TSC Backa Topola
27 Jun
Dun. Streda
2 : 1 TSC Backa Topola
24 May
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 1 TSC Backa Topola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac 1926 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Smederevo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Vrsac | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Javor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Dubocica | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Napredak | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Spartak Subotica | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Loznica | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 10 | FK Vozdovac | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Teleoptik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 12 | OFK Bor 1919 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Proleter 023 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Metalac | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Graficar Beograd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)
