Sport Picks
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 
Match Events
37'
37'
Ristic S.
Own Goal
49'
49'
Ristic S.
58'
58'
Todoroski A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Napredak and TSC Backa Topola finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSC Backa Topola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSC Backa Topola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- TSC Backa Topola carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives TSC Backa Topola a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- TSC Backa Topola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Napredak Clean Sheet 11%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napredak | TSC Backa Topola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 2.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Napredak 10 / 100
TSC Backa Topola 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Napredak TSC Backa Topola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSC Backa Topola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TSC Backa Topola has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Napredak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Napredak scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Napredak VS TSC Backa Topola
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Napredak
(Home) 27 Oct
Macva Sabac
2 : 0 Napredak
24 Oct
Borac 1926
0 : 0 Napredak
17 Oct
Napredak
1 : 0 Dubocica
11 Oct
Proleter 023
0 : 0 Napredak
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0 Loznica
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Napredak
1 : 0 Dubocica
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0 Loznica
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4 Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2 Vrsac
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1 Jedinstvo Ub
Page 1 of 3
TSC Backa Topola
(Away) 28 Oct
Smederevo
2 : 3 TSC Backa Topola
23 Oct
Teleoptik
1 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
17 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
5 : 1 Metalac
11 Oct
OFK Bor 1919
1 : 4 TSC Backa Topola
05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Smederevo
2 : 3 TSC Backa Topola
23 Oct
Teleoptik
1 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
11 Oct
OFK Bor 1919
1 : 4 TSC Backa Topola
26 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
16 Sept
Proleter 023
1 : 1 TSC Backa Topola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSC Backa Topola | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 35:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Javor | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 3 | Borac 1926 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Vrsac | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Smederevo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Dubocica | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Napredak | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Loznica | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19:21 | 20 |
| 9 | FK Vozdovac | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Spartak Subotica | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24:28 | 19 |
| 11 | Proleter 023 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Metalac | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:22 | 18 |
| 13 | Jedinstvo Ub | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Teleoptik | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18:26 | 13 |
| 15 | Graficar Beograd | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:29 | 11 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8:30 | 8 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)
