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Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Chelmecki K.
59'
Jopek S.
64' Event
Martinez A.

AI Match Summary

Naprzod Jedrzejow in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naprzod Jedrzejow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Naprzod Jedrzejow
20%
Draws
19%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naprzod Jedrzejow lately — more wins on the board than Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
  • Win probability leans Naprzod Jedrzejow's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naprzod Jedrzejow here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Naprzod Jedrzejow Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naprzod Jedrzejow Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Naprzod Jedrzejow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naprzod Jedrzejow Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Top Goalscorer Chelmecki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naprzod Jedrzejow 85 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naprzod Jedrzejow Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naprzod Jedrzejow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Naprzod Jedrzejow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Naprzod Jedrzejow found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Naprzod Jedrzejow VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naprzod Jedrzejow

(Home)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 2
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

(Away)
10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)