Sport Picks

Zambia

Super League 2024/2025

NAPSA Stars

0 - 1

Lumwana Radiants

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Banda L.

56'

Banda L.

68'

Tembo P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between NAPSA Stars and Lumwana Radiants finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lumwana Radiants.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

NAPSA Stars

17%

Draws

13%

Lumwana Radiants

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lumwana Radiants come out ahead of NAPSA Stars on wins alone.
Win probability leans NAPSA Stars's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 9%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NAPSA Stars	Lumwana Radiants
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	10	6
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0.63	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Super League

Lumwana Radiants vs NAPSA Stars

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

Dec 15, 2024 Super League

NAPSA Stars vs Lumwana Radiants

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Jan 21, 2023 Super League

NAPSA Stars vs Lumwana Radiants

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sep 3, 2022 Super League

Lumwana Radiants vs NAPSA Stars

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jun 2, 2021 Super League

NAPSA Stars vs Lumwana Radiants

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAPSA Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Top Goalscorer Tembo P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 77 / 100

Lumwana Radiants 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NAPSA Stars Lumwana Radiants

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAPSA Stars scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Lumwana Radiants's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: NAPSA Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS -

0.63 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Power Dynamos	34	20	8	6	54:22	68
2	Zesco	34	17	12	5	34:20	63
3	Nkana	34	16	10	8	48:29	58
4	Red Arrows	34	15	11	8	32:24	56
5	Kabwe	34	13	12	9	38:27	51
6	Nkwazi	34	12	14	8	31:26	50
7	Green Buffaloes FC	34	11	12	11	34:35	45
8	Mufulira Wanderers	34	13	6	15	30:31	45
9	NAPSA Stars	34	9	17	8	24:22	44
10	Muza Fc	34	11	11	12	33:34	44
11	Nchanga Rangers	34	9	15	10	29:28	42
12	Green Eagles	34	9	14	11	32:34	41
13	Mutondo Stars	34	10	11	13	26:34	41
14	Zanaco	34	9	12	13	34:41	39
15	Atletico Lusaka	34	10	9	15	27:46	39
16	Forest Rangers	34	7	17	10	31:34	38
17	Lumwana Radiants	34	10	7	17	21:36	37
18	Indeni	34	3	6	25	20:55	15