Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NAPSA Stars vs Nkana

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between NAPSA Stars and Nkana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
NAPSA Stars
39%
Draws
31%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nkana come out ahead of NAPSA Stars on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Nkana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAPSA Stars Nkana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs NAPSA Stars
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs NAPSA Stars
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAPSA Stars 41 / 100
Nkana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAPSA Stars Nkana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAPSA Stars found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Nkana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

NAPSA Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

NAPSA Stars VS Nkana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%