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Nara Club vs Reilac Shiga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Togashi Y.
41'
Sub
Sakamoto I. In: Hitomi T.
Out: Sakamoto I.
41'
Sub
Romero F. In: Kubo E.
Out: Romero F.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Nara Club and Reilac Shiga finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nara Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nara Club
20%
Draws
20%
Reilac Shiga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nara Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Nara Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nara Club are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 17%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nara Club Reilac Shiga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Nara Club vs Reilac Shiga
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Mochizuki S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Togashi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirai S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nara Club 48 / 100
Reilac Shiga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nara Club Reilac Shiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nara Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nara Club scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nara Club went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Reilac Shiga has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nara Club VS Reilac Shiga
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nara Club

(Home)
10 Oct
Nara Club
2 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Nara Club
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
Page 1 of 6

Reilac Shiga

(Away)
10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2
Reilac Shiga
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)