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Nardo vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bye B.
56' Event
Tonne E.
57' Event
Bye B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Nardo and Aalesund 2 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nardo
15%
Draws
34%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nardo haven't matched Aalesund 2's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Aalesund 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.04 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
5:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
4:1
Apr 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
2:3
Sep 14, 2015 Division 2 - Group 4
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
1:0
Jun 1, 2015 Division 2 - Group 4
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bye B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tonne E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Warholm R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 34 / 100
Aalesund 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Aalesund 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Nardo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Aalesund 2
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
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