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Nardo vs Kolstad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Stokke S.
26' Event
Krokbo A.
28' Event
Halvorsen K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nardo in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nardo
15%
Draws
21%
Kolstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kolstad haven't matched Nardo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nardo a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nardo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Kolstad
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 24 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 2.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Kolstad
8:0
Apr 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Nardo
0:5
Mar 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Nardo vs Kolstad
5:1
Oct 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Kolstad
3:0
Apr 18, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Nardo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokke S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hustad I. H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Kolstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 95 / 100
Kolstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Kolstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (44 games).

Kolstad has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
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Kolstad

(Away)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
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