Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nardo vs Mosjoen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hauknes A. E.
12' Event
Torstad A.
18' Event
Stokke S.

AI Match Summary

Nardo in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nardo
15%
Draws
34%
Mosjoen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nardo lately — more wins on the board than Mosjoen.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nardo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Nardo Clean Sheet 68%
Mosjoen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Mosjoen
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 18 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 2.59 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 3.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Mosjoen
8:0
Apr 13, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Mosjoen vs Nardo
1:5
Oct 6, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Mosjoen
5:0
Jun 24, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Nardo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokke S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hauknes A. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Mosjoen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 95 / 100
Mosjoen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Mosjoen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (39 games).

Mosjoen has conceded goals in 94% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Mosjoen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
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Mosjoen

(Away)
13 Apr
Mosjoen
0 : 4
Rana FK
27 Oct
Mosjoen
2 : 4
Trygg/Lade
20 Oct
Byasen
6 : 1
Mosjoen
13 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 2
Lillestrom 2
05 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 3
Melhus
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