Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nardo vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Bye B.
80' Event
Hals S.
87' Event
Mugishu J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Nardo and Orkla finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nardo
30%
Draws
34%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nardo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nardo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Orkla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Orkla
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Nardo
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Orkla
4:0
Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Nardo
1:3
Apr 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Orkla
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hals S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Orkla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 34 / 100
Orkla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Orkla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Orkla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Orkla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Orkla
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%