Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nardo vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Bye B.
80' Event
Hals S.
87' Event
Mugishu J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Nardo and Orkla finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nardo
30%
Draws
23%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nardo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nardo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Orkla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.1 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Orkla
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Nardo
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Orkla
4:0
Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Nardo
1:3
Apr 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Orkla
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hals S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Orkla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 83 / 100
Orkla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Orkla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nardo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Orkla
3 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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Orkla

(Away)
26 Sept
Byasen
3 : 0
Orkla
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
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