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Nardo vs Spjelkavik

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Skulstad V.
13' Event
Nordland U.
45' Event
Nordland U.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Nardo and Spjelkavik finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nardo
15%
Draws
28%
Spjelkavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Spjelkavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Spjelkavik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Spjelkavik
4:2
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Nardo
4:2
Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Spjelkavik
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Nardo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordland U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Skulstad V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dubicki F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 29 / 100
Spjelkavik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Spjelkavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nardo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Spjelkavik let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nardo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Spjelkavik
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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Spjelkavik

(Away)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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