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Nardo vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Myrle G.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Krokbo A.
41' Event
Rotlid E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Nardo and Surnadal finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Nardo
20%
Draws
36%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nardo come out ahead of Surnadal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nardo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Nardo Clean Sheet 15%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nardo Surnadal
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.06 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Nardo
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Surnadal
6:0
Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Surnadal
5:1
May 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Nardo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Eggen N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krokbo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Surnadal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nardo 35 / 100
Surnadal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nardo Surnadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Surnadal let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Nardo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nardo VS Surnadal
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nardo

(Home)
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
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Surnadal

(Away)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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