Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naron vs Pontevedra B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naron in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Naron
15%
Draws
73%
Pontevedra B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontevedra B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Pontevedra B have won more games recently than Naron.
  • Pontevedra B are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Naron Clean Sheet 20%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naron Pontevedra B
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Pontevedra B
1:0
Sep 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Naron
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs Naron
0:1
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Pontevedra B
0:2
Mar 28, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Pontevedra B
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naron 24 / 100
Pontevedra B 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naron Pontevedra B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontevedra B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Pontevedra B conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Pontevedra B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pontevedra B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naron

(Home)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
Page 1 of 7

Pontevedra B

(Away)
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
12 May
Somozas
4 : 0
Pontevedra B
05 May
Pontevedra B
2 : 0
Alondras
01 May
UD Ourense
4 : 0
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)