Sport Picks

Finland

Kakkonen West

Ekenas SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Narpes Kraft play Ekenas SC in the Kakkonen West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Narpes Kraft averaged 2.19 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. Ekenas SC averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Narpes Kraft won 2, Ekenas SC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2015 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Narpes Kraft and 1.63 for Ekenas SC. This points to a Narpes Kraft double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Narpes Kraft

15%

Draws

37%

Ekenas SC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narpes Kraft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Narpes Kraft picked up more points recently compared to Ekenas SC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Narpes Kraft Clean Sheet 14%

Ekenas SC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Narpes Kraft	Ekenas SC
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	12	11
Draws	2	6
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	2.19	1.15
Goals Conceded	2.06	1.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2015 Kakkonen West

Ekenas SC vs Narpes Kraft

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Aug 2, 2015 Kakkonen West

Narpes Kraft vs Ekenas SC

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Jun 6, 2015 Kakkonen West

Ekenas SC vs Narpes Kraft

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narpes Kraft Compare

Top Goalscorer Rac M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Ekenas SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatar B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narpes Kraft 46 / 100

Ekenas SC 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Narpes Kraft Ekenas SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Narpes Kraft or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Narpes Kraft attacking → ← attacking Ekenas SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narpes Kraft scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Ekenas SC let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Narpes Kraft went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ekenas SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 39

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GrIFK	27	20	3	4	78:32	63
2	MuSa	27	15	4	8	51:30	49
3	SalPa	27	11	7	9	35:36	40
4	Ekenas SC	27	11	6	10	31:30	39
5	BK-46	27	10	7	10	41:46	37
6	Narpes Kraft	27	10	4	13	52:51	34
7	MaPS	27	10	4	13	28:41	34
8	Pallo-Iirot	27	8	6	13	50:44	30
9	Abo IFK	27	8	6	13	35:56	30
10	KaaPo	27	7	3	17	32:67	24