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Stadium Background

Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Stavropol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Dzhumaev A.
69' Event
Garaev R.
Own Goal
90' Event
Shilov D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nart Cherkessk
15%
Draws
48%
Dynamo Stavropol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Stavropol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nart Cherkessk lately — more wins on the board than Dynamo Stavropol.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Nart Cherkessk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Stavropol, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dynamo Stavropol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nart Cherkessk Dynamo Stavropol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.19
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Russian Cup
Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Stavropol
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Stavropol
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Dynamo Stavropol vs Nart Cherkessk
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Dynamo Stavropol
0:0
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Dynamo Stavropol vs Nart Cherkessk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzhumaev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shilov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nart Cherkessk 41 / 100
Dynamo Stavropol 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nart Cherkessk Dynamo Stavropol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nart Cherkessk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Stavropol has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Nart Cherkessk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Nart Cherkessk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nart Cherkessk VS Dynamo Stavropol
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nart Cherkessk

(Home)
24 Oct
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
17 Oct
Nart Cherkessk
1 : 3
Rostov 2
10 Oct
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
03 Oct
Nart Cherkessk
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
26 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Stavropol

(Away)
25 Oct
Irtysh Omsk
2 : 3
Dynamo Stavropol
21 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
17 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg 2
14 Oct
Dynamo Moscow 2
2 : 3
Dynamo Stavropol
10 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 0
Dynamo Stavropol
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Metallurg Asha 0
TBD -
Saratov -
Khimik -
TBD -
TBD -
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Luki-Energiya -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tosno 3
TBD -
Cherepovets -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Kristall 2
Krasnoye Znamya 3
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Strogino Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
Vladimir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar -
TBD -
TBD -
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -
Bomik 1
Broke Boys 2
TBD -
Kirov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
TBD -
Anzhi 1
Izberbash 5
Angust Nazran -
TBD -
TBD -
Maykop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
TBD -
Kursk -
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
Salyut-Belgorod 0
Kaluga -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskra Smolensk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Mashuk -
Nart Cherkessk -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pobeda -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
FK Shumbrat Saransk -
2Drots 2
FC Oryol 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
Chita 3
FC Irkutsk 0
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Temp Barnaul 3
KDV Tomsk 4
TBD -
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 3
Penza 2
TBD -
Spartak Tambov -
Kvant Obninsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Barnaul 2
TBD -
Dynamo Vladivostok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
FC 10 3
Kosmos 2
TBD -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Dynamo Vologda -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Tver -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
FK Izhevsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
1/16-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Saratov 3
Khimik 2
Nosta 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Luki-Energiya 2
FK Tosno 0
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 2
D. Bryansk 0
Strogino Moscow 0
Vladimir 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0
Broke Boys 0
Kirov 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
Izberbash 3
Angust Nazran 0
Maykop 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
Kaluga 5
Iskra Smolensk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Astrakhan 2
Mashuk 1
Nart Cherkessk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
FK Pobeda 0
Spartak Nalchik 4
Alania Vladikavkaz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 1
M. Lipetsk 0
FK Shumbrat Saransk 1
2Drots 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
Chita 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
KDV Tomsk 3
Sibir Novosibirsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 1
Spartak Tambov 2
Kvant Obninsk 0
Ryazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
Dynamo Barnaul 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
FC 10 1
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 2
FK Tver 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
Tyumen 1
FK Izhevsk 1
Torpedo Miass 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
1/8-finals
Saratov 2
Nosta 1
TBD -
Leningradets -
Luki-Energiya 4
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 1
Vladimir 0
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 4
Kirov 5
TBD -
Kamaz -
Izberbash 1
Maykop 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 1
Kaluga 2
TBD -
Ufa -
Astrakhan 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 3
2Drots 0
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
FC Chertanovo Moscow 4
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Spartak Tambov 1
Ryazan 2
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 0
Dynamo Barnaul 5
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 1
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Quarter-finals
Saratov 1
Leningradets 2
Luki-Energiya 2
Ural 1
Krasnoye Znamya 0
SKA Khabarovsk 4
Kirov 1
Kamaz 0
Maykop 1
Yenisey 2
Kaluga 1
Ufa 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2
Torpedo Moscow 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0
Ulyanovsk 1
FC Murom 1
Veles Moscow 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 2
Neftekhimik 1
Tekstilshtik 1
Arsenal Tula 0
Ryazan 0
S. Kostroma 2
Dynamo Barnaul 0
Chelyabinsk 2
Dynamo Petersburg 2
PFC Sochi 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
R. Volgograd 0
Semi-finals
Leningradets 2
Luki-Energiya 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Kirov 0
Yenisey 2
Kaluga 0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0
Ulyanovsk 1
FC Murom 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 2
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 1
Chelyabinsk 0
Dynamo Petersburg 1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
Final
Leningradets -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Yenisey -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
S. Kostroma -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -