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Nart Cherkessk vs Kyzyltash

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nart Cherkessk play Kyzyltash in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Kyzyltash averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Nart Cherkessk won 2, Kyzyltash won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 3-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Nart Cherkessk and 1.25 for Kyzyltash. This points to a Kyzyltash double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nart Cherkessk
21%
Draws
41%
Kyzyltash
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Kyzyltash

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nart Cherkessk picked up more points recently compared to Kyzyltash.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 19%
Kyzyltash Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nart Cherkessk Kyzyltash
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Kyzyltash
3-1
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Kyzyltash vs Nart Cherkessk
3-1
Mar 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Kyzyltash
0-2
Feb 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Kyzyltash vs Nart Cherkessk
2-0
Jan 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Kyzyltash
1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nart Cherkessk 38 / 100
Kyzyltash 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nart Cherkessk Kyzyltash

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kyzyltash or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nart Cherkessk attacking → ← attacking Kyzyltash

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nart Cherkessk scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kyzyltash let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nart Cherkessk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kyzyltash lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 60
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63