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Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Jegorov A.

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
38%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Johvi Phoenix.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.36 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:0
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21
4:2
Oct 8, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jegorov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 66 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Johvi Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Narva U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Johvi Phoenix
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)