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Narva U21 vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kozhushko M.
38' Event
Pavlov V.
40'
Sub
Vahenurm R. In: Trei M.
Out: Vahenurm R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Narva U21 and Kuressaare U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
0%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Narva U21 come out ahead of Kuressaare U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Narva U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 7 25
Goals Scored 2.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Kuressaare U21
4:1
Jul 13, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Narva U21
0:3
Jun 2, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Kuressaare U21
2:0
Feb 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Narva U21
1:4
Oct 11, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Narva U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozhushko M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohmus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 84 / 100
Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Narva U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Kuressaare U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Kuressaare U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)