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Narva U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
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Match Events

25' Event
Baljabkin N.
33' Event
Shantenkov V.
40' Event
Torchakov V.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Narva U21 and Laanemaa Haapsalu finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
0%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Narva U21 come out ahead of Laanemaa Haapsalu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Narva U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Narva U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 2.64 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.12 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
5:0
Aug 24, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Narva U21
1:5
Jun 5, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
6:0
Apr 20, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Narva U21
0:2
Oct 24, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shantenkov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 85 / 100
Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Laanemaa Haapsalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Laanemaa Haapsalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Narva U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Laanemaa Haapsalu
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
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Laanemaa Haapsalu

(Away)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)