Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva U21 vs Parnu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2023 Narva Kreenholmi staadion, Narva
Narva U21 Logo

Narva U21

3 - 1
FT
Parnu Logo

Parnu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2023 game between Narva U21 and Parnu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
0%
Parnu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Narva U21 come out ahead of Parnu on wins alone.
  • Narva U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Narva U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Parnu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Parnu
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 27 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.68 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Narva U21
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu
2:0
Jul 14, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Narva U21
1:3
Sep 24, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 84 / 100
Parnu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Parnu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Narva U21 scored in 87% of their last 38 outings.

Parnu let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Narva U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Parnu has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
Page 1 of 8

Parnu

(Away)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 36 23 5 8 92:42 74
2 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 19 10 7 99:53 67
3 Narva U21 36 19 7 10 69:48 64
4 Tartu Kalev 36 18 7 11 85:71 61
5 Kuressaare U21 36 17 10 9 87:76 61
6 Tulevik 36 16 7 13 58:55 55
7 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 12 8 16 63:70 44
8 Kalju U21 36 12 5 19 90:103 41
9 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 8 2 26 67:120 26
10 Parnu 36 3 5 28 34:106 14
Promotion - Esiliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2023 (Relegation)