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Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B
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Match Events

10' Event
Miranda da Silva K.
17' Event
Jegorov A.
54' Event
Jegorov A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Narva U21 and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
24%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Narva U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Narva U21 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.45 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
5:0
Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jegorov A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda da Silva K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 85 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Narva U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Tallinna Kalev U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
5 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
6 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)