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Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Narva Logo

Narva

1 - 1
FT
Paide Linnameeskond Logo

Paide Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Berardozzi T.
6'
Daniel Cabral
46'
Sub
Smirnov R. In: Jobarteh M.
Out: Smirnov R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Narva and Paide Linnameeskond finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Narva
20%
Draws
65%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Narva haven't matched Paide Linnameeskond's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Narva Clean Sheet 15%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Narva
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Berardozzi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 15 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Narva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Paide Linnameeskond
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)