Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nasaf Qarshi vs Lok. Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mukhitdinov S.
43' Event
Mirzaev S.
Assist: Tupliev B.
46'
Sub
Ibraimov N. In: Shodiboev S.
Out: Ibraimov N.

AI Match Summary

Lok. Tashkent in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Tashkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nasaf Qarshi
39%
Draws
31%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lok. Tashkent lately — more wins on the board than Nasaf Qarshi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nasaf Qarshi Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Lok. Tashkent
2:3
Nov 1, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Lok. Tashkent
3:0
Sep 3, 2022 Uzbekistan Cup
Nasaf Qarshi vs Lok. Tashkent
1:0
Aug 29, 2022 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Lok. Tashkent
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nasaf Qarshi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhitdinov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otubanjo Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirzaev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdukholikov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nasaf Qarshi 41 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nasaf Qarshi Lok. Tashkent

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasaf Qarshi found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Lok. Tashkent let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nasaf Qarshi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nasaf Qarshi VS Lok. Tashkent
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1151516:1116
10Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Sogdiana1233621:2512
13Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
14Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213