Sport Picks
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi 
Match Events
15'
15'
Davronov A.
Own Goal
30'
30'
Rustamov O.
45'
45'
Khamdamov D.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Nasaf Qarshi and Pakhtakor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakhtakor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Pakhtakor carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Nasaf Qarshi a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasaf Qarshi | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
Nov 20, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
2:2
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukhitdinov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Bozorov O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nasaf Qarshi 59 / 100
Pakhtakor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nasaf Qarshi Pakhtakor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasaf Qarshi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Pakhtakor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Nasaf Qarshi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nasaf Qarshi VS Pakhtakor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nasaf Qarshi
(Home) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
08 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Kokand 1912
28 Jul
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 0 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 3
Pakhtakor
(Away) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
