Sport Picks
Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi 
Match Events
45'
45'
Abdirakhmatov Z.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Eshmurodov U.
45'
45'
Ratkovic L.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Nasaf Qarshi and Qizilqum finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nasaf Qarshi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nasaf Qarshi come out ahead of Qizilqum on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Nasaf Qarshi's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Nasaf Qarshi have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasaf Qarshi | Qizilqum |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
Jul 28, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum
4:0
Aug 16, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdikholikov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Qizilqum Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nasaf Qarshi 95 / 100
Qizilqum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nasaf Qarshi Qizilqum
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasaf Qarshi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Qizilqum let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Nasaf Qarshi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nasaf Qarshi VS Qizilqum
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nasaf Qarshi
(Home) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
08 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Kokand 1912
28 Jul
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 0 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 3
Qizilqum
(Away) 21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
08 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
5 : 0 Qizilqum
28 Jul
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 0 Qizilqum
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
