Sport Picks
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nigeria
NPFL 
Match Events
20'
20'
Ebah H.
29'
29'
53'
53'
AI Match Summary
Nasarawa United in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nasarawa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nasarawa United lately — more wins on the board than Niger Tornadoes.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Nasarawa United taking it.
- Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nasarawa United Clean Sheet 20%
Niger Tornadoes Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Niger Tornadoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Nasarawa United
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Nasarawa United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasarawa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ebah H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Niger Tornadoes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nasarawa United 42 / 100
Niger Tornadoes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nasarawa United Niger Tornadoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasarawa United scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Nasarawa United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Niger Tornadoes has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Nasarawa United VS Niger Tornadoes
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nasarawa United
(Home) 04 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Nasarawa United
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 1 Rivers United
18 Sept
Rangers International
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
20 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 1 Rivers United
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Bendel
17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2 Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
Page 1 of 3
Niger Tornadoes
(Away) 04 Oct
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 0 Kun Khalifa
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
23 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
0 : 0 Warri Wolves
19 Sept
Katsina Utd
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1 Plateau United
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
19 Sept
Katsina Utd
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
06 Sept
Kano Pillars
3 : 2 Niger Tornadoes
10 May
El Kanemi Warriors
0 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
19 Apr
Remo Stars
3 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Katsina Utd | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Kwara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Enyimba International | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
