Sport Picks
Nasarawa United vs Plateau United
Nigeria
Federation Cup Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia 
Match Events
44'
44'
Abdullahi A.
85'
85'
Aboh D.
87'
87'
Ada U.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Nasarawa United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nasarawa United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Plateau United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Nasarawa United's way, sitting at 40%.
- Plateau United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nasarawa United, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nasarawa United Clean Sheet 68%
Plateau United Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasarawa United | Plateau United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Nasarawa United vs Plateau United
2:1
May 10, 2026 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Plateau United
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 NPFL
Plateau United vs Nasarawa United
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Plateau United
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 NPFL
Plateau United vs Nasarawa United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasarawa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullahi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ada U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Plateau United Compare
Top Goalscorer Aboh D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nasarawa United 50 / 100
Plateau United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nasarawa United Plateau United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasarawa United found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Plateau United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nasarawa United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nasarawa United VS Plateau United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nasarawa United
(Home) 17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2 Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
06 Jun
Rivers United
2 : 3 Nasarawa United
01 Jun
Ejigbo City
0 : 3 Nasarawa United
24 May
Barau
3 : 0 Nasarawa United
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17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2 Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
10 May
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Plateau United
19 Apr
Nasarawa United
3 : 0 Warri Wolves
05 Apr
Nasarawa United
0 : 1 Kun Khalifa
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Plateau United
(Away) 11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
06 Jun
Plateau United
2 : 1 Basira
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1 Plateau United
24 May
Plateau United
1 : 0 Kano Pillars
10 May
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Plateau United
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11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1 Plateau United
10 May
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Plateau United
03 May
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Plateau United
12 Apr
Rivers United
1 : 0 Plateau United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Kwara0
Sokoto United1
De Sapele Lion0
Adamawa Utd1
Bendel3
Crown FC1
El Kanemi Warriors2
Akwa United1
Shooting1
Kada Warriors2
Wikki Tourists3
Bayelsa United1
Bida Lions2
Warri Wolves0
Flight FC Gboko2
Mighty Jets1
Rivers United3
Rangers International2
Ejigbo City0
Nasarawa United3
Kogi United0
Plateau United1
Ingas1
Basira2
Ikorodu City2
Jigawa Golden Stars0
Enyimba International1
Gombe0
Sunshine Stars U192
Warinje1
Barau1
Abakaliki0
1/8-finals
Sokoto United2
Adamawa Utd0
Bendel3
El Kanemi Warriors4
Kada Warriors1
Wikki Tourists3
Bida Lions0
Flight FC Gboko1
Rivers United2
Nasarawa United3
Plateau United2
Basira1
Ikorodu City2
Enyimba International1
Sunshine Stars U191
Barau2
Quarter-finals
Sokoto United0
El Kanemi Warriors1
Wikki Tourists2
Flight FC Gboko1
Nasarawa United2
Plateau United1
Ikorodu City3
Barau2
Semi-finals
El Kanemi Warriors3
Wikki Tourists1
Nasarawa United1
Ikorodu City2
Final
El Kanemi Warriors-
Ikorodu City-