Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Fortune A. In: Reilly W.
Out: Fortune A.
62'
Sub
Edwards M. In: Hernandez R.
Out: Edwards M.
63'
Sub
Tagseth E. In: Acosta B.
Out: Tagseth E.

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nashville SC
6%
Draws
4%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlanta United haven't matched Nashville SC's recent run of results.
  • Nashville SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Atlanta United
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
0:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atlanta United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 85 / 100
Atlanta United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Nashville SC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nashville SC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Atlanta United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307