Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs CF Montreal

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC play CF Montreal in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nashville SC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. CF Montreal averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Nashville SC won 2, CF Montreal won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 4, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Nashville SC and 1.56 for CF Montreal. This points to a Nashville SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nashville SC
22%
Draws
18%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nashville SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CF Montreal.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Nashville SC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 15%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC CF Montreal
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
3:0
May 25, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
0:0
May 5, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
4:1
Jun 21, 2023 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 57 / 100
CF Montreal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC CF Montreal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nashville SC scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

CF Montreal let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nashville SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Montreal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS CF Montreal
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307