Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs New York City

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Palacios J.
Assist: Espinoza C.
23' Event
Mercau N.
(Penalty)
25'
Trewin K.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Nashville SC and New York City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nashville SC
6%
Draws
4%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nashville SC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC New York City
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York City
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Nashville SC
2:1
May 31, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York City
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 MLS
New York City vs Nashville SC
3:1
Jun 23, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Woledzi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

New York City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 85 / 100
New York City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC New York City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Nashville SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nashville SC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

New York City let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS New York City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307