Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs CF Montreal

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Bauer J. In: Najar A.
Out: Bauer J.
66'
Sub
Tagseth E. In: Acosta B.
Out: Tagseth E.
66'
Sub
Muyl A. In: Qasem A.
Out: Muyl A.

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nashville SC
22%
Draws
18%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nashville SC have won more games recently than CF Montreal.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 15%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC CF Montreal
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
3:0
May 25, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
0:0
May 5, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
4:1
Jun 21, 2023 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 57 / 100
CF Montreal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Nashville SC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Nashville SC scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS CF Montreal
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
Atlanta United
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Nashville SC
10 May
Nashville SC
2 : 2
DC United
Page 1 of 7

CF Montreal

(Away)
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0
Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
23 May
DC United
4 : 4
CF Montreal
16 May
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)