Sport Picks
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN 
Match Events
43'
43'
Surridge S.
Assist: Espinoza C.
44'
44'
Nwobodo O.
46'
46'
Sub
Mboma K. In: Jabbari A.
Out: Mboma K.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Nashville SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nashville SC | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 2.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
2:2
May 29, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nashville SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Surridge S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mukhtar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
FC Cincinnati Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nashville SC 85 / 100
FC Cincinnati 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nashville SC FC Cincinnati
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cincinnati's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Nashville SC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Nashville SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nashville SC VS FC Cincinnati
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nashville SC
(Home) 27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
23 Aug
Nashville SC
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 3
FC Cincinnati
(Away) 26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
15 Aug
Orlando City
1 : 1 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
