Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC host Sporting Kansas City in the MLS. Nashville SC are expected to control this from the start. Sporting Kansas City have shipped 2.43 goals a game lately, while Nashville SC have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Nashville SC slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2024, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Nashville SC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nashville SC
20%
Draws
34%
Sporting Kansas City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nashville SC come out ahead of Sporting Kansas City on wins alone.
  • Nashville SC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Sporting Kansas City
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Sporting Kansas City vs Nashville SC
1:2
Sep 21, 2023 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Nashville SC
0:3
Jun 19, 2022 MLS
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Nashville SC
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Nashville SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 40 / 100
Sporting Kansas City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Sporting Kansas City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

Nashville SC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Nashville SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Sporting Kansas City
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)