Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nauas EC vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Peteca
38' Event
Andrade de Moura M. A.
45' Event
Rennan

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2 game between Nauas EC and Placido de Castro finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Placido de Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nauas EC
20%
Draws
51%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Placido de Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nauas EC haven't matched Placido de Castro's recent run of results.
  • Placido de Castro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Acreano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 12%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nauas EC Placido de Castro
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.66 1.56
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Acreano 2
Nauas EC vs Placido de Castro
1:7
Aug 19, 2026 Acreano 2
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
0:0
Aug 21, 2025 Acreano 2
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nauas EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Emanuel C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Placido de Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga da Silva C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Peteca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nauas EC 10 / 100
Placido de Castro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nauas EC Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Placido de Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Placido de Castro has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Nauas EC scored in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Nauas EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nauas EC VS Placido de Castro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nauas EC

(Home)
15 Sept
Andira
7 : 0
Nauas EC
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
02 Sept
Nauas EC
0 : 10
Atletico Acreano
25 Aug
Nauas EC
3 : 2
Andira
19 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 0
Nauas EC
Page 1 of 7

Placido de Castro

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
16 Sept
Placido de Castro
3 : 3
Atletico Acreano
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
01 Sept
Placido de Castro
2 : 1
Andira
25 Aug
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Placido de Castro 3 2 1 0 12:5 7
2 Andira 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Atletico Acreano 3 1 1 1 15:6 4
4 Nauas EC 3 0 0 3 1:24 0
Promotion - Acreano 2 (Play Offs)