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Nautico FC U20 vs Madureira U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2024
Wed, Oct 2, 2024
2 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Kiko
50' Event
Florisvaldo
(Penalty)
1' Event
Chicao
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nautico FC U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nautico FC U20
6%
Draws
90%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Madureira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madureira U20 come out ahead of Nautico FC U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Madureira U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Madureira U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nautico FC U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nautico FC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Nautico FC U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiko
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Madureira U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC U20 10 / 100
Madureira U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC U20 Madureira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Madureira U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nautico FC U20's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Madureira U20
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico FC U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Nautico FC U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz AC U20
06 Jan
Osasco Sporting U20
6 : 0
Nautico FC U20
03 Jan
Palmeiras U20
9 : 0
Nautico FC U20
24 Oct
Macapa U20
1 : 0
Nautico FC U20
16 Oct
Nautico FC U20
1 : 1
Macapa U20
Page 1 of 2

Madureira U20

(Away)
05 Apr
Sampaio Correa U20
2 : 1
Madureira U20
28 Mar
Madureira U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
25 Mar
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Madureira U20
21 Mar
Madureira U20
2 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
18 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 0
Madureira U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Goias U203
Vasco U202
Flamengo RJ U208
Porto Vitoria U201
America RN U200
Retro U202
Bahia U208
Tiradentes-PI U200
Fast Clube U201
SD Sparta U202
Tuna Luso U203
Rondoniense SC U202
Gremio U201
Criciuma U202
Sao Paulo U206
Londrina U201
Nautico FC U202
Madureira U201
Sampaio Correa U202
Macapa U203
CSA U203
Lagarto U200
Ceara U205
Serra Branca U200
Coritiba U202
EC Juventude U201
Palmeiras U2012
Uniao ABC U200
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U203
Coimbra Sports U202
Cuiaba U205
Gama U200
1/8-finals
Goias U205
Flamengo RJ U203
Retro U200
Bahia U205
SD Sparta U200
Tuna Luso U206
Criciuma U201
Sao Paulo U207
Nautico FC U201
Macapa U202
CSA U200
Ceara U2010
Coritiba U203
Palmeiras U204
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U205
Cuiaba U203
Quarter-finals
Goias U204
Bahia U206
Tuna Luso U201
Sao Paulo U203
Macapa U201
Ceara U205
Palmeiras U203
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U202
Semi-finals
Bahia U202
Sao Paulo U204
Ceara U201
Palmeiras U207
Final
Sao Paulo U203
Palmeiras U202