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Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Romarinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Nautico FC and Monte Roraima finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Nautico FC
17%
Draws
70%
Monte Roraima
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Monte Roraima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monte Roraima are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monte Roraima here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 12%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC Monte Roraima
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima
0:1
Feb 18, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima
1:4
Apr 20, 2024 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC 14 / 100
Monte Roraima 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC Monte Roraima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Monte Roraima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Monte Roraima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nautico FC VS Monte Roraima
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341