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Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Romarinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Nautico FC and Monte Roraima finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nautico FC
20%
Draws
40%
Monte Roraima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Monte Roraima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monte Roraima are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monte Roraima here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 12%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC Monte Roraima
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima
0:1
Feb 18, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima
1:4
Apr 20, 2024 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Monte Roraima
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC 14 / 100
Monte Roraima 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC Monte Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Monte Roraima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Monte Roraima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nautico FC VS Monte Roraima
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico FC

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
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Monte Roraima

(Away)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)