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Nautico Hacoaj vs Provincial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
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AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Nautico Hacoaj and Provincial finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nautico Hacoaj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nautico Hacoaj
15%
Draws
0%
Provincial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nautico Hacoaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nautico Hacoaj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nautico Hacoaj a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nautico Hacoaj here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Nautico Hacoaj Clean Sheet 20%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Hacoaj Provincial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Provincial
9:1
Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:3
Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:5
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Provincial
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Provincial
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico Hacoaj 85 / 100
Provincial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Hacoaj Provincial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nautico Hacoaj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Provincial has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Provincial's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nautico Hacoaj scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico Hacoaj VS Provincial
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico Hacoaj

(Home)
22 Sept
Uribelarrea
5 : 0
Nautico Hacoaj
15 Sept
Nautico Hacoaj
2 : 2
Uribelarrea
07 Sept
Defensores de Glew
3 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
24 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
2 : 3
Nautico Hacoaj
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Provincial

(Away)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4
Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)