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Nautico MS vs Coxim

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
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Match Events

3' Event
Caio Vidal
44' Event
Romulo
55' Event
Caio Vidal

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Nautico MS and Coxim finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coxim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nautico MS
15%
Draws
85%
Coxim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nautico MS haven't matched Coxim's recent run of results.
  • Coxim are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 10%
Coxim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico MS Coxim
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Coxim
1:3
Feb 4, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Nautico MS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Vidal
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico MS 14 / 100
Coxim 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico MS Coxim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coxim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coxim let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nautico MS found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Coxim's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nautico MS VS Coxim
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico MS

(Home)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

Coxim

(Away)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)