Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nautico vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kauan Maranhao
Assist: Jean Carlos
38'
Jean Carlos
46'
Sub
Kaue Leonardo In: Rai Nascimento
Out: Kaue Leonardo

AI Match Summary

Nautico in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nautico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nautico
15%
Draws
39%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nautico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nautico lately — more wins on the board than Londrina.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nautico Clean Sheet 16%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Londrina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Londrina
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Serie C
Londrina vs Nautico
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Serie C
Londrina vs Nautico
3:2
Jul 23, 2022 Serie B
Nautico vs Londrina
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie B
Londrina vs Nautico
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Lacerda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 31 / 100
Londrina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Londrina has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Nautico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS Londrina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
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Londrina

(Away)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 EC Juventude 30 15 8 7 32:19 53
3 Fortaleza 30 14 10 6 35:26 52
4 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
5 Criciuma 30 14 8 8 31:27 50
6 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
7 CRB 30 14 6 10 45:41 48
8 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 30 10 13 7 30:25 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Athletic Club 30 10 12 8 36:33 42
14 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 30 8 6 16 30:41 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 30 4 5 21 21:50 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)