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Nautico W vs Santos Dumont W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico W play Santos Dumont W in the Brasileiro A2 Women 2021. Nautico W are favorites here. Recently, Nautico W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. Santos Dumont W averaged 0.7 goals scored and 5.5 conceded. In past meetings, Nautico W won 1, Santos Dumont W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2021 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Nautico W and 1.69 for Santos Dumont W. This points to a Nautico W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Nautico W
15%
Draws
16%
Santos Dumont W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nautico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nautico W picked up more points recently compared to Santos Dumont W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Nautico W Clean Sheet 13%
Santos Dumont W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico W Santos Dumont W
Matches Played 26 10
Wins 8 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.04 5.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 6.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Brasileiro A2 Women
Nautico W vs Santos Dumont W
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico W 65 / 100
Santos Dumont W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico W Santos Dumont W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nautico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nautico W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nautico W attacking → ← attacking Santos Dumont W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico W scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Santos Dumont W let in goals in 100% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Nautico W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santos Dumont W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 3
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ESMAC W541024:113
2Ariquemes W540114:412
3EC Iranduba de Amazonia W522115:68
4Assermurb W51135:184
5Sao Raimundo RR W51135:194
6Oratorio W50144:191
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fortaleza W541013:113
2Itacoatiara W531113:710
3Cefama W52129:97
4Vitoria W511311:164
5Tiradentes W51135:124
6Paraiso EC W50326:123
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara W550022:215
2Botafogo PB W540113:312
3UD Alagoana W521210:67
4America RN W52128:97
5Nautico W51046:133
6Santos Dumont W50051:270
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bragantino W550025:015
2Fluminense W540116:812
3Criciuma W52126:107
4Vila Nova ES W51227:155
5Sport Recife W51137:114
6Atletico GO W50051:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-MG W550014:115
2Cresspom W531116:610
3Alianca GO W53028:119
4Juventude Conquista W51139:114
5Mixto W51044:113
6Serc W51046:173
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco W550012:115
2Athletico-PR W540114:312
3America Mineiro W52127:67
4Chapecoense W51135:104
5Ponte Preta W50323:93
6Brasil de Farroupilha W50142:141