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Naval Reinosa vs Cayon CD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Naval Reinosa Logo

Naval Reinosa

0 - 3
FT
Cayon CD Logo

Cayon CD

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Gomez M.
60' Event
Laredo Abascal J.
85' Event
Laredo Abascal J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Naval Reinosa
20%
Draws
47%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cayon CD lately — more wins on the board than Naval Reinosa.
  • Cayon CD are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 24%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval Reinosa Cayon CD
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 8 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Naval Reinosa
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Cayon CD
0:3
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Cayon CD
1:0
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Naval Reinosa
2:2
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Cayon CD
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval Reinosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Laredo Abascal J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval Reinosa 21 / 100
Cayon CD 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval Reinosa Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naval Reinosa scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Cayon CD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Naval Reinosa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naval Reinosa VS Cayon CD
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval Reinosa

(Home)
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
04 May
Naval Reinosa
2 : 0
Bezana
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 4
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7

Cayon CD

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)