Sport Picks
Navalcarnero vs AD Colmenar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between Navalcarnero and AD Colmenar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Colmenar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Colmenar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Navalcarnero carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors AD Colmenar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 20%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navalcarnero | AD Colmenar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs AD Colmenar
1:2
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Navalcarnero
0:1
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs AD Colmenar
1:5
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Navalcarnero
4:1
Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Navalcarnero
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navalcarnero 31 / 100
AD Colmenar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navalcarnero AD Colmenar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Colmenar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Navalcarnero scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Navalcarnero has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Navalcarnero VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Navalcarnero
(Home) 04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 7
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1 Real Avila
03 May
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 CF Fuenlabrada
19 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 0 Conquense
Page 1 of 3
AD Colmenar
(Away) 21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0 Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1 Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0 San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3 AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3 AD Colmenar
29 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 0 AD Colmenar
15 Apr
Atletico Pinto
1 : 1 AD Colmenar
01 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 5 AD Colmenar
25 Mar
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 AD Colmenar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 67:38 | 71 |
| 2 | Navalcarnero | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 43:37 | 64 |
| 3 | Mexico | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Union Adarve | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 40:31 | 63 |
| 5 | Alcorcon B | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 57:41 | 63 |
| 6 | San Sebastian Reyes | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 47:32 | 62 |
| 7 | DUX Internacional de Madrid | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 60 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 41:29 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Madrid C | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 10 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 46:45 | 54 |
| 11 | Parla | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:39 | 53 |
| 12 | Atletico Pinto | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:42 | 52 |
| 13 | Atl. Madrid C | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:66 | 49 |
| 14 | Puerta Bonita | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:44 | 47 |
| 15 | CD Mostoles | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 16 | San Fernando de Henares | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 35:42 | 44 |
| 17 | Siello | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37:51 | 43 |
| 18 | Alcobendas | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 35:49 | 36 |
| 19 | AD Colmenar | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 35:65 | 35 |
| 20 | AD Torrejon | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 22:74 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
