Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Navarro

3 - 1

Covadonga

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Ofon F.

48'

Gonzalez P.

52'

Sanchez E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Navarro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navarro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Navarro

30%

Draws

34%

Covadonga

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navarro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Covadonga lately — more wins on the board than Navarro.
Navarro are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Navarro Clean Sheet 10%

Covadonga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Navarro	Covadonga
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	6	24
Draws	11	4
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1	3
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Navarro vs Covadonga

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Covadonga vs Navarro

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Covadonga vs Navarro

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

3:3

Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Navarro vs Covadonga

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Oct 10, 2020 Club Friendly

Navarro vs Covadonga

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navarro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ofon F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Covadonga Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73

Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navarro 34 / 100

Covadonga 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Navarro Covadonga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navarro scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Covadonga has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Covadonga has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Navarro VS Covadonga

1 Goals Scored 3

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Llanera	34	29	4	1	71:18	91
2	Covadonga	34	25	5	4	88:24	80
3	Gijon B	34	19	10	5	79:29	67
4	Caudal Deportivo	34	20	6	8	59:39	66
5	CD Mosconia	34	16	7	11	46:29	55
6	EI San Martin	34	14	9	11	36:36	51
7	L Entregu CF	34	13	10	11	41:42	49
8	Union Club Ceares	34	12	9	13	39:40	45
9	Praviano	34	11	9	14	36:42	42
10	Club Siero	34	11	8	15	39:49	41
11	CD Colunga	34	10	9	15	38:59	39
12	Llanes	34	8	13	13	44:51	37
13	Aviles Stadium	34	6	15	13	21:40	33
14	Gijon Industrial	34	7	11	16	36:57	32
15	Lenense	34	7	11	16	36:58	32
16	Navarro	34	6	13	15	38:53	31
17	Tuilla	34	7	6	21	31:60	27
18	Real Titanico	34	3	9	22	22:74	18