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Navarro vs Gijon Industrial Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sanchez A.
Own Goal
45' Event
De Luis J.
75' Event
Rivero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Navarro and Gijon Industrial finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navarro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Navarro
15%
Draws
59%
Gijon Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gijon Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gijon Industrial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Gijon Industrial taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Navarro Clean Sheet 13%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navarro Gijon Industrial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs Gijon Industrial
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Navarro
0:2
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs Gijon Industrial
4:2
Oct 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Navarro
2:2
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Navarro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navarro Compare

Top Goalscorer De Luis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gijon Industrial Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navarro 14 / 100
Gijon Industrial 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navarro Gijon Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon Industrial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon Industrial let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Navarro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Navarro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navarro VS Gijon Industrial
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Navarro

(Home)
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
Navarro
3 : 1
CD Mosconia
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Navarro
26 Apr
Navarro
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
19 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Navarro
Page 1 of 6

Gijon Industrial

(Away)
04 Oct
Andes CF
0 : 3
Gijon Industrial
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)